Topic: oorlog rusland 17 januari

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?The jealous and intolerant eye of the Kremlin can distinguish, in the end, only vassals and enemies, and the neighbors of Russia, if they do not wish to be one, must reconcile themselves to being the other.?

?It would be useful to the Western world to realize that despite all the vicissitudes by which Russia has been afflicted since August 1939, the men in the Kremlin have never abandoned their faith in that program of territorial and political expansion which had once commended itself so strongly to Tsarist diplomatists.? [519]? ― George F. Kennan, Memoirs, 1925-1950

george kennan not so much that soviet union are communists but that are russians (from fareed zakari's GPS april 1 -2018

https://www.reddit.com/r/russiawarinukraine/comments/88y7g0/the_man_who_got_russia_right_george/  from 3 years ago

1994 about budapest memorandum

https://web.archive.org/web/20150205050359/https:/articles.chicagotribune.com/1994-01-16/news/9401160298_1_president-leonid-kravchuk-ukraine-russians

what if russians behave as russians?




https://www.lse.ac.uk/ideas/events/2022/02/on-ukraines-front-line/on-ukraines-front-line-a-case-study-in-modern-warfare

.https://www.rferl.org/a/czechoslovak-gulag-secret-files-released/31651006.html

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/01/13/opinions/putin-russia-us-nato-miscalculation-ghitis/index.html

https://tvpworld.com/57974689/world-news-1501-sweden-reacts-to-russias-actions-denmark-supports-baltics

https://www.euronews.com/2022/01/14/the-west-must-not-buckle-under-russian-threats-now-or-ever-view


https://tvpworld.com/57974689/world-news-1501-sweden-reacts-to-russias-actions-denmarksupports-baltics?fbclid=IwAR0LA3FVKrhWkur4w5sD2n_LFUDrsTi_Me4HF8fzfPdDUC8GlPnG41-ldlc

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1549996/russia-news-vladimir-putin-mikhail-gorbachev-ussr-lawsuit-moscow-lithuania

https://www.csis.org/analysis/kremlin-playbook

https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/03/05/im-sorry-for-creating-the-gerasimov-doctrine/

https://khpg.org/en/1608808937
Russia blocks military archives in further effort to distort the truth about World War II

https://www.microsoft.com/security/blog/2022/01/15/destructive-malware-targeting-ukrainian-organizations/


Muscovy (russia never was, is or will be a country) is "afraid" of (mongol) invaders so they invade themselves
a "small" number of areas since 1300
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/52/Expansi%C3%B3n_territorial_de_Rusia.svg   

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/15/well-fight-to-the-end-ukraine-defiant-in-face-of-vladimir-putins-phoney-war


https://www.thefirstnews.com/article/russias-gazprom-seeks-arbitration-against-polands-pgnig-over-gas-prices-27272

https://www.independent.co.uk/world/russian-invasion-ukraine-inevitable-b1993814.html

https://www.novinite.com/articles/213266/American+expert%3A+It+depends+on+Bulgaria+whether+it+wants+to+return+to+Russian+control

https://ukrainetoday.org/2022/01/16/chemicals-leaked-in-donbas-this-could-be-reason-for-russias-invasion-intelligence/

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/russias-other-european-invasion/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/16/world/europe/russia-ukraine-invasion.html
https://www.anandmarket.in/russia-issues-subtle-threats-more-far-reaching-than-a-ukraine-invasion/

https://kyivindependent.com/national/russian-led-militants-release-toxic-ammonia-in-donbas-provoking-red-flag-fears/
|that 's chemical warfare !!!

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/14/us/politics/russia-ukraine-biden-military.html?unlocked_article_code=AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACEIPuonUktbfqYhkSVUaBybIRp8_qRmHmfnE2_smm2TlLSHQVDVYxuUTDs2K-kvAY-9mZt8ywz2BVZlBLLorDrRU_9NoAnZMGUOus4fW39MMOTk0ooa-GW5pgJ7AA7oytDPmNTf8db0knPi2506IdTXpCKXbgyAiIgwx84B3Ng3_gQx-zabEE-500td-zK1hUsg8HWFcEXHM6_r4CBx-O8GEbgXf72Q1XeJbWDLVlL2M-u5KMVUSWR-dEiQJsStr48hcOdgXIK_8MxUqHcL7irwTAWFiR5y7dkwcPHaBMVzVh7aEDZy9qg&smid=url-share
U.S. Considers Backing an Insurgency if Russia Invades Ukraine


https://www.euronews.com/2022/01/15/sweden-redeploys-troops-to-the-island-of-gotland-near-russia

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-lithuania-lifts-border-emergency-state-as-migrant-flow-runs-out/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-poice-detain-villager-who-wrote-letter-to-local-newspaper-about-new-constitution/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-brest-school-principal-fired-for-posting-real-voting-protocols-during-2020-election/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-ukraine-points-to-threat-of-chemical-pollution-in-donbas-due-to-russia/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-lukashenka-meets-with-belarusian-peacekeepers-returning-from-kazakhstan/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-former-ukrainian-president-viktor-yanukovych-files-lawsuit-to-regain-presidential-status/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-supreme-court-of-belarus-fines-google-1-5-mln-byn/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-four-more-people-recognized-as-political-prisoners/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-journalist-iryna-slaunikava-describes-her-life-in-jail/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/14-01-2022-political-prisoner-gets-2-5-years-in-jail-earlier-he-stood-trial-for-picking-up-police-radioset/

https://belsat.eu/en/news/16-01-2022-businessman-yury-chyzh-faces-from-3-to-10-years-in-jail/

sharing from Alexander Motyl:
IMPORTANT - what we can do now!!!
Re:  Russian Aggression?What is Happening and How to Counteract Against It
Drafted by a group of analysts associated with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Kyiv School of Economics
The Current Situation
Ukraine is under attack.  Informational warfare and cyberattacks have already disrupted government portals, spread disinformation, heightened the level of society?s anxiety and are creating the image of a ?helpless country.?  The Russian Federation is utilizing the following methods, situations and instruments in cyberspace and in informational and energy domains.
1.  Aggression in which energy is used to exert economic and social pressures
Example:  sudden gas price increases are used to threaten the ongoing viability of sectors of the economy.  On December 1, 2021, in Odessa there appeared informational provocation claiming increased rates for heat.
2.  Cyberattacks 
Example:  attacks upon government sites.  During the night of January 13 going on 14, there was a global attack by hackers resulting in the immobilization of various government sites (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Education and Science and the Diya site).  In last December alone, Ukraine?s Security Service had to neutralize 59 separate cyberattacks on various governmental informational systems.
3. Informational Attacks/The Disinformation Campaign
Examples:  systematic activity aimed at dehumanizing Ukrainians, creating a toxic informational background (?nothing is going to work out,? ?Ukraine is a failed state?) and denying Ukraine the right to agency as a country.  Another example:  information warfare has become a part of the cyberattacks on government sites, with hackers on January 1, 2022, inserting anti-Ukrainian announcements and threatening messages on government sites.
What Does This All Mean and Why Is It Being Done?
The cyber, informational and energy-related attacks are all a part of the Russian Federation?s plan of hostilities.  None of these attacks is launched simply for its own purposes.  They are all directed towards harming the economy, generating harmful social attitudes and increasing society?s level of anxiety.
The next steps may consist of provocations at the border and social unrest at regional capitals.  Such provocations will include cyber, informational and energy-related actions.  This context is being prepared to lay the groundwork for the introduction of Russian armies onto the territory of Ukraine.  This will then be ?explained? by Ukraine?s purported inadequacies, so that peace and order need to be forcibly introduced by military means (Georgia, 2008, and Kazakhstan, 2022).  This invasion will then be rationalized with the slogans ?NATO is inflaming provocations, we can?t allow them to get closer,? ?Ukraine is filled with social unrest, we need to stop it and restore order,? ?they started it (reacting to their own provocation)? and ?we are protecting people, these are our people.?
What Each of You Can Do Immediately
Now, as never before, is the time for each Ukrainian to speak out.
Speak about how Ukraine is under attack.
Speak with your friends in Ukraine and with those in foreign countries.
Reach out to your network of contacts and explain what is really going on.
Use your public voice:  write an article, a column, make a post.
About What Should We Speak and How?
The Russian Federation is making every effort ranging from the technical to the diplomatic in order to reach its goal, which is to demonstrate Ukraine?s inability to be an independent and successful state.  In order to counteract this campaign, it is not necessary to respond to each individual action but to expose and explain the true motivations and goals behind such actions.
--Ukraine is an independent European country and Ukrainians will themselves choose their own future.  Russia does not have the right to decide whether Ukraine joins  NATO, and it also does not have the right to demand that anyone remain unaffiliated with any bloc.
--The Russian Federation claims that Ukraine is a threat.  That is true.  But the threat is not military, and the threat posed is not directed against every Russian.  A successful and democratic Ukraine constitutes a threat to the Russian Federation?s regime because it will then be impossible for it to explain why a neighbor without oil and gas but with a democratic state is providing a better quality of life.
--The Russian Federation needs a weak Ukraine in order to control it and in order to make it a part of Russia?s own project to recreate the USSR.  Hiding behind the slogans ?regional security? and ?the threat of NATO? lie the very pragmatic goals of taking away the Black Sea, land and Ukraine?s access to global markets.

Ukrainian media: Putin will attack, but now it's spring!
Armed Forces of Ukraine: Fuck!
Ukrainians: Morning, or already in May?
Ukrainian media: Our military experts have not yet given a clear answer.
Ukrainians: WE HAVE MILITARY EXPERTS???
ZSU: They have military experts. Fuck. We are in shock.
Military experts who do not come out of TV channels: Why are you laughing so loudly?
Ukrainians: Yes, well, say, when will Putin attack? Before or after Easter?
Military experts: Understand, from the point of view of military analytics and our deep knowledge, comprehensive military education and thirty steps behind the front line...
Ukrainians: Clear. In March.
Military experts: What's wrong in May?
Ukrainians: In May we already plant potatoes, who will let it be on the kopanomu?
Russian media (unexpectedly): The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia proposes to solve problems with Ukraine exclusively in a diplomatic way.
Ukrainians: Fuck! Oh how interesting is this? And Shaw on this will say famous military experts?
Military experts (call the OP): So, we don't understand what is the general line of the party today? Putin will attack, and everyone needs to unite, or Putin will not attack, and to calm people down, you can go again to the most expensive resort in the Carpathians?
OP: Do not disturb, we are looking for Poroshenko.
Poroshenko (writing on Facebook): I'm in Europe, I'll be on Monday, the seventeenth, at nine in the morning.
OP: According to our intelligence, Poroshenko will secretly penetrate Ukraine on the seventeenth, on Tuesday.
Poroshenko: On Monday!
OP: That is on Monday. At ten in the morning.
Poroshenko: At nine, damn!
OP: At nine.
Russian media: The Russian Ministry of Defense is considering the transfer of the theater of military exercises and the withdrawal of troops.
DPR/LPR: What do you mean? What about us? What about us?
ZSU: And you stay, we are not done with you yet.
Russian media: Xhha! We are not going anywhere! And you believed it!
ZSU (as they stood, so they stand): Completely dumb. At what stage of your hangover came to your mind that someone believes in you?
Ukrainian media: Eee... Nothing is clear. In the sense - the international political situation remains difficult.
Tokaev: I asked the OCDB troops to leave Kazakhstan.
Ukrainians: He thinks that the Russians will go as they came.
The Ministry of Defense of Russia: *orders a cast of medals "For the return of Kazakhstan to its native harbor".
Ukrainians: Yes, everything is clear. Not Putin, but Poroh, not in March, but the seventeenth, and will not attack, but will come. Oh well, ok. What's next with the news?


https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ukraine-russia-nato-stoltenberg-1.6316037



https://www.newagebd.net/article/159961/kazakhstan-natos-new-frontier


https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/europe-sees-new-normal-of-constant-russia-tensions-on-doorstep


https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/the-ukraine-crisis-nato-insiders-fear-attack-on-multiple-fronts-a-6c6865ba-a6be-4f7c-a7e8-8a7611a2cdaa

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/john-mccain-putin-ukraine/621265/



https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1481947746970001414
"Russia shall expand its borders to the stand of 1917, including Baltic countries and Finland", - Russia's Deputy Parliament President, Head of Russian delegation to
@coe
 Tolstoy said amid his meeting with journalists.
@HeikoMaas
 fought brave to bring this guy back to PACE.


Edward Kloczko
@EKloczko
Time to return Moscovia to its 1147 borders.

Anders ?stlund
@andersostlund
?
A first demand from the alliance of democracies should of course be that Russia immediately evacuate the territories it occupies in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Once that's done a new security order can be discussed in sincerity.

...and Chechnya

.
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http://krantvannederland.nl/discuss/list/2022/17012022