https://youtu.be/W7Kke3Ln930
Ukrainian SPECIAL FORCES establish bridgehead across Dnipro River | Rivnopil liberated
https://kyivindependent.com/ana-palacio-russias-dangerous-nuclear-consensus/
https://kyivindependent.com/wagner-recuriting-centers-reopen-in-russia/
https://kyivindependent.com/media-wagner-camps-being-built-in-belarus/
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1673355200063586307
Lukashenko received a generous pay-off for dealing with Prigozhin, it seems.
Under Putin's decision, Belarus will pay a very low price for Russian gas until 2031.
Currently Minsk pays $127.52 per 1,000 cubic meters. This price will be valid until 2026, as Belarus ambassador to Russia Dmitriy Krutoy told media.
I wonder what other bonuses await this Belarusian "peacemaker" for saving Putin's dictatorship?
it's not swastika is known for 12000 years, not jus the decade of Adolf Hitler https://archive.org/details/theswastika00wilsuoft/page/n7/mode/2up 1896
The swastika, the earliest known symbol
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/06/putin-caught-in-his-own-trap/674524/
Propagandists are displeased with Putin's decision to let Prigozhin go
https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1673179167293046790
Meanwhile in Russia: even the obedient state TV propagandists were flabbergasted by Putin's decision to let Yevgeny Prigozhin stay alive, much less to walk free after committing his mini-mutiny.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1673051994251034626
Who will pay Prigozhin now?
Prigozhin's private army existed thanks to Putin's dirty money.
For the money from selling oil, gas, timber, metals, gold and other resources of Russia to the West and to the East.
Yesterday, Russian media reported that during searches in the offices of the PMCs, colossal amounts of cash were found - 4 billion rubles, (about $50 million).
Prigozhin immediately admitted that this was money of the PMC and that it was intended for paying the so-called "coffin" money - payments to the relatives of killed mercenaries.
"Wagner PMC has existed for 10 years using cash only. When we were working in Africa, in Ukraine and in other countries, when America was a nightmare, everyone was satisfied with cash. And now they came with searches," Prigozhing commented.
Let's talk about the dirty economy of Wagner PMC.
Using simple arithmetic calculations, multiplying the declared number of mercenaries in the PMC - 50,000 people, by their average payment for a bloody contract - RUB 240,000, we get the amount of $150 million a month. And this amount does not include any other costs for the maintenance of Prigogzhin's private army.
According to my rough estimates, maintaining a private Wagner army cost Putin between $250 million and $350 million in cash per month.
It is possible that one of the reasons that prompted Prigozhin to revolt against Putin was the conflict over the verification of how he spent more than $2 billion received from Putin and his oligarchs during the 15 months of war.
We still do not know the reasons why Prigozhin stopped his march on Moscow by his mercenaries. Neither he, nor Putin, nor Lukashenko made a single public statement after the talks.
But I have several questions:
1. Will Putin, after Prigozhin's rebellion, finance his PMC in the same way as before? I highly doubt it! And if not, then where will Prigozhin get $250 million per month to maintain PMCs?
2. Will Prigozhin now be provided with shells, cartridges, missiles - after his mercenaries shot down helicopters and a Russian plane yesterday with the same missiles? I don't think so!
3. Will the Russian military, who until this moment idolized Prigozhin as a real military leader, forgive him the Russian pilots and officers killed by him? I think that he lost their trust, both after the murders and after a cheap provocation about the alleged shelling of the rear camp of the PMC, staged by Prigozhin himself as a pretext for rebellion.
4. How will Prigozhin withstand the powerful blow of Kremlin propaganda? Already last night it was clearly visible how quickly and clearly the position of Kremlin propaganda in relation to the Wagner PMC has changed. From yesterday's heroes, they quickly began to turn into traitors, rebels, and murderers of valiant pilots. A few more weeks and instead of Prigozhin and his accomplices, instead of the Wagnerites "heroes of Russia", propaganda will show them as a bunch of scoundrels, rebels and murderers - which, in fact, they are.
Therefore, future events look obvious to me - yesterday Prigozhin lost his chance to seize power in Russia.
There will most likely not be a second campaign against Moscow, since Wagner PMC will slowly collapse through a gradual reduction in funding for salaries to mercenaries, through contradictions between those who are 100% loyal to Prigozhin and who feel deceived and thrown into the furnace of the ambitions of the bloody Bakhmut butcher.
And Ukraine only benefited from this failed rebellion, as fascist Russia became even weaker - and that's good news!
Experts react: What Russia?s Wagner Group rebellion means for Putin, Ukraine, China, and more
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/experts-react/prigozhin-rebellion/
Putin has only himself to blame as infighting engulfs Kremlin insiders | If Wagner is no longer a party, russia looses it's spearhead force to fight Ukraine, that;s a good outcome from this "coup"
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/24/europe/putin-rebellion-wagner-prigozhin-analysis-intl/index.html
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1672689527515693057
So, the main "hero" of the day is Lukashenko - the savior of Russia.
No one saw or heard anything from Shoigu and Gerasimov today.
Putin looked cowardly and pathetic.
I can't wait to hear the propagandists tomorrow. How will they explain all this?
Expert: Deal between Kremlin and Wagner 'clearly driven by Putin' | NewsNation Prime
NewsNation political analyst Mick Mulvaney joins "NewsNation Prime" to discuss the deal brokered between Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Wagner group after the military contractor's rebellious march on Moscow.
https://www.facebook.com/watch?v=787533926364918
Whatever you think about Prigozhin 🇷🇺 his description about developments in Donbas leading up to Putin?s decision to start the war is fairly correct, and distinctly different from the Putin version.
https://twitter.com/carlbildt/status/1672934672337100800
https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/062423-russian-military-mutiny-raises-oil-risks-for-opec-producer#
https://www.investorsobserver.com/news/qm-news/8497273613900328
USD/RUB: Ruble on edge after Russia aborted rebellion
Country 404
A bold point has been put on Russian statehood.
https://charter97.org/ru/news/2023/6/25/553351/
https://twitter.com/randymot4/status/1673086464714842113
SOME FACTS ON RUSSIAN INVASION;
(1) There is no Russian big back-up of reserves. They are committing them to the front-line to try to hold back Ukrainians. Virtually no one but the TikTok troops were avaiable to respond to Wagner. They are a joke.
(2) The Ukrainian army is recording steady advances with less than 20% of its offensive punch committed.
(3) Russia cannot replace lost equipment as its losses grow, while UKR gets stronger every day.
(4) Each new Russian threat or tactic is met and over-matched by UKR response, esp with help of vast NATO arsenal. Russia has run out of options.
(5) Russia remains unable to mount a serious offensive operation, even when it has a strong numerical advantage at the point of contact.
(6) Russian losses have been verified by Prigozhin and there seems to be no Kremlin strong response. Those losses are also corroborated by reaction of Russian troops and public to Prigozhin's announcement of them. "No more cannon fodder" was a winning PR campaign.
(7) Ukrainian operatinoal security is excellent and no one can predict when or where the big attacks will occur. Leaving Russian spread thin with little ability to react as so many of its units are fixed in combat.
#UkraineVictory
https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/06/25/this-year-will-be-a-game-changer-in-russo-ukrainian-war-ukraines-defense-minister-says/
https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/06/25/russian-troops-plant-explosives-near-4-nuclear-reactors-at-zaporizhzhia-npp-ukraines-intel/
https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/06/25/wagners-mutiny-exposes-serious-cracks-in-putins-regime-blinken-says/
https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/06/26/frontline-report-suspicions-surround-russian-defense-wagner-group-reconciliation-as-ukrainian-forces-make-progress/
https://twitter.com/andreivkozyrev/status/1672969358274863105
Formen RU MFA : Prigozhin's putsch should be a wake-up call to as-long-as-it-takers in the West. The longer the war, the more warlords fight, potentially to control nuclear weapons. Giving Ukraine weapons to win and shorten the war is vital to avoid nuclear escalation.
https://censor.net/ua/news/3427000/prygojyn_zalyshayetsya_pid_slidstvom_u_spravi_pro_zakolot_roszmi
Prigozhin remains under investigation in sedition case, ? Russian mass media
Israel-Ukraine: Accusations Fly While Aid Doesn?t
Ukraine?s Embassy accused Israel of ?a clear pro-Russian position? after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu again ruled out military aid and cited a need to ?coordinate with Russia?.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/18701
Future of Putin pal Shoigu on Line After Wagner Revolt
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/18707
Could Wagner's Mutiny Help Ukraine?
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/18080
?March on Moscow? ? What the Russian ?Partisans? Plan to Do Next
https://kyivindependent.com/isw-31/
ISW: Russian sources speculate on specifics of Lukashenko-mediated deal with Prigozhin
https://english.nv.ua/business/russia-not-added-to-fatf-blacklist-despite-ukraine-support-ukraine-war-50334523.html
https://english.nv.ua/nation/another-arms-warehouse-of-gebrev-who-supplies-weapons-to-ukraine-explodes-50334419.html
https://english.nv.ua/nation/ukraine-gains-2-km-of-ground-in-east-of-country-says-defense-ministry-ukraine-war-50334516.html
https://english.nv.ua/nation/eu-to-provide-3-8-billion-in-aid-to-ukraine-after-wagner-coup-ukraine-news-50334556.html
https://english.nv.ua/nation/occupiers-drop-a-chemical-projectile-on-ukrainian-positions-with-wind-in-their-faces-50334422.html
https://english.nv.ua/nation/part-of-russian-elite-wants-to-end-war-with-ukraine-says-danilov-50334405.html
https://english.nv.ua/nation/when-will-ukraine-have-its-own-long-range-missiles-50334415.html
https://www.ft.com/content/1d54ceae-c41e-41e8-b7f0-790fd148880f
Ribbentrop Germany pushes back against EU plan to raid frozen Russian assets, because then.. Ribbentrop Germany would have to pay compensation for destroying Poland. There is some perverse logic of perpetrators solidarity.
https://twitter.com/anno1540/status/1672949077951107073
.
Instead of Shoigu, a former bodyguard of Putin will be appointed to the position of Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, ? rosZMI
We are talking about the current governor of the Tula region, Oleksiy Dyumin. It is reported that it was he who went to Prigozhin and decided with him the issue of ending the "campaign" to Moscow.
At the same time, according to rosZMI, Surovikin may be appointed chief of the General Staff of the Russian Federation.
https://ukrainetoday.org/2023/06/26/petraeus-prigozhin-lost-his-nerve-in-calling-off-rebellion-2/
https://www.newsweek.com/adam-kinzinger-mocks-republican-russia-lovers-putin-faces-mutiny-1808821
https://www.newsweek.com/russian-commander-posts-ominous-warning-after-wagner-mutiny-1808874
https://www.intellinews.com/kabanovsky-the-tragicomic-transformation-of-russia-s-power-landscape-evgeniy-prigozhin-s-descent-into-absurdity-282809/
https://444.hu/2023/06/26/ugy-erezzuk-hogy-mara-oroszorszag-sajat-felsegteruletenek-tekinti-magyarorszagot-ezert-reagaltunk-mi
"We feel that today Russia considers Hungary to be its sovereign territory, that's why we reacted"
On 19 June 2023, something happened in Hungary that is currently unimaginable anywhere else in the world except Belarus: while Russia was waging a war of conquest to restore the Soviet empire, uniformed Russian soldiers unveiled a Soviet military monument in Cs?kber?ny. But all this only lasted for five days: on Saturday 24 June, two Hungarian men wrapped the monument with a few square metres of black plastic sheeting, a roll of transparent tape and three flags, to the sound of approving cheers from passing motorists.
http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2023/06/tyva-will-be-first-republic-in-russia.html
http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2023/06/prigozhins-rising-cut-russian-supply.html
----climate
1878 worst heatwave
https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5110
Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Tagged by Source
https://twitter.com/Martin_A_Nunez/status/1670842413257048082
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http://krantvannederland.nl/discuss/list/2023/27062023.html