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Started by webmaster, November 19, 2023, 21:07:46 PM

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webmaster

The Nabta Playa site in southern Egypt dates back as early as the tenth millennium BC. The Nabta people, who lived between 8,000 and 9,000 years ago, were among the area's first recorded residents, adjusting to the changing topography and demonstrating a comprehensive awareness of astronomy and astronomical phenomena.
The megalithic structures, stone circles, and alignments discovered at Nabta Playa: these ancient people may have been among the first cultures in history to observe and document celestial phenomena, possibly using the structures as early astronomical observatories to track and interpret celestial body movements for practical and ceremonial purposes.
Their capacity to anticipate seasonal shifts, identify key celestial occurrences, and comprehend natural cycles would have been useful in agricultural techniques, resource management, and cultural traditions.
https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=pfbid02xueSu9vtHAd2jJ5HpHyuQ31KSS3zG8T4V69ny5bM8GwqR1qJRW2rVSo3Hxk9aiK8l&id=61550356371749



webmaster

https://historianet.nl/maatschappij/godsdienstgeschiedenis/vergeten-evangelie-jezus-was-een-rotjoch?utm_source=crm&utm_medium=email&utm_content=918621_1013
https://archive.ph/8VbUc


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https://x.com/PeroMicic/status/1962267337236623423/photo/1
CEO's question: What will be the hourly cost of work of a humanoid robot?

Several projections have been published, e.g. by
@CernBasher
,
@adam_dorr
 and
@GoingBallistic5
. Here's my take.
I've produced a long-form video on this question (see link in comments).

Here is the essence - based on very conservative assumptions (see attached image).

- Production cost: $30,000. A humanoid is ~5% the mass of a passenger car. The costly parts are actuators and gearboxes; the rest is electronics, sensors, a few kWh of batteries, and plastics—components that are highly scalable in volume manufacturing.

- Operating cost: $30,000 per year, of which $18,000 is human oversight and coordination. This is likely way too high.

- Operating time: 6,600 hours per year (330 days × 20 hours/day). That equals the yearly working time of more than three people.

- Work speed vs. humans: 100% initially. As with industrial robots, later generations will likely reach 200%+.

- Business model: Most manufacturers will offer Robot-as-a-Service (RaaS) rather than selling units, because it drives far higher revenue and margin. Expect an initial one-time fee roughly equal to manufacturing cost plus a usage fee per year, month, day, or hour.

- Service life (incl. repairs): 8 years.

- Market dynamics: Because humanoids will be highly profitable to use (see below), demand will ramp quickly. But many suppliers will enter, so sustained overly high monopoly pricing is unlikely.

Result: Based on these assumptions, a humanoid work hour will cost at most $14.

That's the highest realistic value. With learning effects and scale, the hourly cost will drop below $10 and likely below $5.
@rethink_x
 even projects that by 2035 a humanoid hour could cost less than $1.

By comparison, a skilled worker's fully loaded hour is $42.53.

Strategic consequence: In competitive markets, companies will have no real choice: first to replace labor shortages, and soon to replace existing roles. Even at $14/hour, the financial advantage vs. human labor is close to $200,000 per robot per year.

I've published a three-part video series on the societal implications of this inevitable shift (see comments).

Urgent advice: If you make or move anything physical, start rethinking your business around humanoids—as a supplier, service provider, or user. It is quiet now, but the ramp-up will be fast.

How about you? Which tasks would you deploy humanoids for first?